Concept

Prediction — where it appears

A statement about a number written down before the number exists. Recording one where it was made, rather than deleting it afterwards, is what turns an arithmetic result into evidence — and in this collection the predictions have mostly been refused.

Named by 9 essays across 4 fields — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.

Every census row under five constructions of the same test set. A slope chart with 5 columns — lattice, coarse, fine, uniform, natural — and one line per change of light in the census, each line joining that row's mean residual under each construction. Four of the five columns describe the same region of surfaces walked at different densities or against different measures; the last is the clamped, realistic family, which is not linear in its parameters and is therefore answering a slightly different question. The levels move: between the coarse and fine lattices every row shifts by seven to nine per cent, in the same direction, which is a common-mode factor no published residual here has ever carried. The order almost survives. Inside the region exactly one pair crosses, and it is the pair the standard error had already flagged; under the clamped set two more cross, including one the error separates by nearly nine standard errors. The crossing lines are drawn heavy.

The instrument named the pair that moved

A standard error over a test set flagged four steps of the adaptation census as unresolved. Rebuilding the set three different ways reversed exactly one pair, and it was one of the four. Rebuilding it to a different rule reversed a pair the error separated by nearly nine standard errors — which is not a failure of the instrument but a statement of what it is about.

limits · Limits
Eight conditions under which the model equation is exact, and how exact each one is. Each of the four departures vanishes if either of its two factors is empty, which is eight conditions. The axis is logarithmic in the residual that is left when the condition is imposed. Three of the eight are identities: the fluorophore's loading is zero so the emitted term is an empty sum, and a Lambertian surface or a uniform field makes the pairing's second argument identically zero. The other five are limits — a Gaussian excitation band has no edge, an opaque sample still has a kernel a few microns wide, a four-metre aperture is still finite, and the observer is small rather than absent at 380 nanometres. Each limit is drawn with the sequence its residual falls along as the condition is pushed, because a small number is not evidence of a limit and a falling sequence is.

Either factor being zero

Four different departures from the colour integral turn out to have one algebraic form — each is an inner product of something the sample does that the model has no slot for with something the light does that the model assumed away. Either factor being zero makes the departure exactly zero, and the sizes of the two factors decide neither how large it is nor which way it goes.

limits · Limits
An aperture and a gloss lobe, apart and together. Six materials, each measured through a four-millimetre radius and each given a gloss lobe, alone and at the same time. The pale bar is what the two cost added together as if they were independent; the dark one is what they cost when both are present. Every material comes out below the sum, by between 0.8 and 3.6 ΔE₀₀. The two departures partly cancel: the aperture removes light that went into the material and came back out too far away, and the interface returns light that never went in at all. Measuring either one alone therefore overstates what both together do, which is the opposite of the way interacting errors are usually assumed to behave.

Two departures that partly cancel

A glossy translucent sample has two of this round's four departures at once, and the expectation was that they would compound. They do the opposite. An aperture takes light away that went into the material and came back too far out; an interface returns light that never went in at all — so measuring either alone overstates what both together do, on every material tested.

difference · Metric
The six arguments a surface's response has, and the one this model keeps. A surface's response to light is a function of six arguments: the wavelength, direction and place the light arrives with, and the wavelength, direction and place it leaves with. The model every colour here is computed from keeps one number per wavelength, which means it takes the diagonal of the first pair, integrates the second away, and assumes the third pair equal. Each departure drawn here restores one of them. The fourth departure is not on the diagram: the wavelength grid is the range of the index that was kept rather than an index that was dropped, which is why it is the cheapest of the four to fix and was still not fixed.

The audit that changed the object

Three rounds audited this collection's numbers, its sets and its conventions, and each one ended by naming the same thing it could not reach — that a surface is a reflectance. This round reached it, found that four departures share one algebraic form, had two of its predictions refused, and discovered that its own hemisphere quadrature had been passing a convergence check by luck.

limits · Limits
How far CIECAM16 moves a monochromatic hue when the light is brightened thirtyfold. A monochromatic stimulus at a relative luminance of 2 and of 60, read through CIECAM16 in one room, and the difference between its two hue angles. The model was never fitted to this effect and has it anyway: the shift is positive at the short end, negative through the greens, positive again in the yellows and reds, and crosses zero at 459, 495, 502, 570 nanometres. The marks are the invariant wavelengths the literature reports — 474, 506, 571.

The model has a hue shift it was never given

A monochromatic light changes hue as it is brightened, except at three wavelengths that do not move — an effect measured since the nineteenth century and not among the things CIECAM16 was fitted to. The model has it anyway: brightening a stimulus thirtyfold moves its hue angle, and the places where the movement crosses zero land at 459, 495, 502 and 570 nanometres against the reported 474, 506 and 571. The sizes are another matter.

brain · Appearance
What survives holding the lightness still. For each of five groups of rooms sorted by how much light the wall returns, the rank correlation of the finish's share with three properties of the paint, taken with the wall's luminance factor held. The wall's chroma runs from -0.90 among the darkest walls to 0.81 among the palest, crossing zero in the middle — the reversal. The band's width, which was the predicted mechanism, never leaves the range -0.15 to 0.22, and the census already contains four families whose bands are all the same width.

The finish adds the room's own colour

Among dark walls a more saturated paint loses a smaller share of its colour to a gloss finish, and among pale walls a larger one. The mechanism proposed for that reversal was spectral concentration — a narrow tall band — and the census that found it already contained four families of paints whose bands are all the same width. Holding lightness still, the band's width orders the losses at a rank correlation of 0.01. What does order them is that the light a finish adds has already bounced off the walls.

scene · Scene
Where chroma stops protecting a wall, in five rooms. The seventy-two paints in each of five rooms, sorted by how much light the wall returns and read in overlapping windows of eighteen: the rank correlation of the share of colour a satin finish takes with the wall's chroma, lightness held. Below zero a more saturated paint loses less; above, more. The dots are where each room's curve crosses: cube at 0.36, corridor at 0.37, low room at 0.38, one wall open at 0.29, two walls open at 0.24. Solid lines are closed rooms of three shapes; dashed are the cube with one and two walls opened.

An open room hands over sooner

A gloss finish takes the least colour from a saturated dark wall and the most from a saturated pale one, and in a closed cube the sign changes at a wall returning about a third of the light. The prediction was that a less enclosed room would move that point up the lightness scale and that a room with a window would have no pale end. Opening one wall moves it down, from a luminance factor of 0.36 to 0.29, and opening a second to 0.24; stretching the room into a corridor or flattening it nudges it slightly up. The ambient does whiten, as predicted. A whiter ambient does not delay the colour term — it weakens it, so the other term takes over sooner.

scene · Scene
The lamp's white, six walls and the light arriving at each. On the 1976 chromaticity diagram, in the closed cube under daylight: the lamp's white (centre), six saturated walls with bands centred from 450 to 650 nm (open circles), and the light arriving at each wall from the rest of the room, lamp included (filled). Each ambient lies on the line from the white to its wall, a fraction of the way along it: 450 nm 10 per cent, 490 nm 12 per cent, 530 nm 19 per cent, 570 nm 19 per cent, 610 nm 13 per cent, 650 nm 5 per cent.

A probe at the wall prices the finish

The light arriving at a painted wall from the rest of its room is what a gloss finish hands back, and a small probe held against the wall reads it. It lies on the line from the lamp's white to the wall's own colour, a fraction of the way along, and the fraction is set by how much light the wall returns, not by how colourful it is — as predicted. It is not the fixed fraction the prediction said: it runs from 2 to 46 per cent across seventy-two paints in one room. That variation is what makes it useful. Read in the matt room, it orders what a satin finish would cost more tightly than the paint's own lightness does, in every room tried.

scene · Scene
The share of its colour each display hue loses to a quarter of its luminance in white. The twenty-four most saturated colours of an sRGB display, one every fifteen degrees of HSV hue, each scaled to a luminance of 20 and given white of a quarter that luminance: the share of its colourfulness lost, in CIECAM16, CIELAB and Oklab. All three put the fastest loss at an orange and the slowest at a blue. At the orange end they are close — CIECAM16 27 per cent, CIELAB 28 per cent, Oklab 21 per cent — and at the blue end CIECAM16's 1.7 per cent is a quarter of the others'.

White drains the blue last in every model

CIECAM16 says a dab of white costs a deep red wall four times the colour it costs a dark blue one, and the experiment proposed to test it asked whether observers lose colour in that hue order. Held at equal luminance and given equal doses of white, twenty-four display hues are ordered alike by CIECAM16, CIELAB and Oklab — an orange loses fastest and a blue slowest in all three. So the order cannot tell the models apart. What does is how much slower the blue is: CIECAM16 has it losing a sixteenth of what the orange loses, CIELAB and Oklab about a quarter. That ratio is the number an observer study has to measure.

brain · Appearance

Named alongside it

The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.

ChromaFalsificationReflectanceSpecularBidirectional reflectanceBilinearityCensusChromaticityInterreflectionMarginalisationRadiosityRank correlation

All concepts