Concept

Fisher information — where it appears

How sharply a set of measurements pins down a model's numbers, read from how fast the predicted measurements move as each number changes. Weighed against the noise and inverted, it gives each number's smallest attainable standard error and how strongly the numbers trade against one another.

Named by 4 essays across one field — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.

A line on the macula's peak frees the band; one on its flank does not. For the band at 445 nm, its standard error in the six-number fit over its value when the macula's peak is not fitted, with the third session's line at 465 to 510 nm. Two sessions leave it at ×1.78 and a repeated second session at ×1.41. The cyan line at 487 nm leaves it at ×1.51, worse than the repeat; at 465 nm, near the macula's 460 nm peak, it comes to ×1.16, inside the prediction's quarter.

A line on the macula's flank buys less than a repeated session

Fitted with six numbers, two sessions of colour matches keep a lens band and a moved macula apart, but the band at 445 nm pays for it: correlated with the macula's shift at 0.82, its standard error 1.8 times its value when the macula is not fitted. A moved macula changes its long flank past 470 nm, where no lens band reaches, so a third session — the LED against a lamp with a narrow line at 487 nm — was predicted to bring the correlation under 0.6 and the band's error within a quarter of its band-only value. The correlation falls to 0.80 and the error to 1.5 times. A third session that simply repeats the second does better on both errors. The flank line pins how much macular pigment there is, not where it peaks, and it ties the band's height to its centre. Moved to 465 nm, onto the macula's peak, the same session brings the band within about a fifth of its band-only error — but no position of the line brings the correlation below 0.78. The band at 445 nm and the macula's peak are told apart by their short flanks, and a third session adds matches rather than a new kind of evidence.

eye · Cones
A known density frees two sessions, not the line on the peak. For an observer at sixty with a lens band at 445 nm and an unmoved macula, the correlation between the band's amplitude and the macula's shift when the macular density is fitted with the other five numbers, and when it is known exactly and fixed, under two sessions, the second session repeated, and the cyan session with its line at 465 to 510 nm. Fixing the density takes two sessions from 0.83 to 0.62 and the line at 465 nm, on the macula's peak, only from 0.86 to 0.74: the line that freed the band's error best is left with the strongest trade.

Knowing the macula's density frees two sessions, not the line on its peak

Fitted with six numbers, an older observer's colour matches cannot fully split a lens band at 445 nm from a macula whose peak has moved: their correlation stays above 0.78 under every third session tried. The proposal was to measure the macular pigment's density from outside the matches, leaving five numbers, and the prediction was that a line on the macula's peak would then split the pair below 0.6 while two plain sessions stayed near 0.8. It runs the other way. With the density known exactly, two sessions fall from 0.83 to 0.62 and the line at 465 nm only from 0.86 to 0.74. The density was the road the band and the peak traded along — correlated with each at about −0.75 in two sessions' fit — and the designs that had already narrowed that road gain least from closing it. A realistic outside measurement closes almost none of it: the matches already know the density to 0.027, so a flicker measurement good to 0.05 moves the correlation by three hundredths. And far from the macula, at 415 nm, a known density binds the band to the peak more tightly than before.

eye · Cones
A density a tenth wrong moves the band by more than its error. For an observer at sixty with a lens band at 445 nm and an unmoved macula, fitted from two sessions with the macular density fixed at 0.8, 0.9, 1.1 and 1.2 times its true 0.35: the bias in the band's amplitude and in the macula's fitted peak, in units of the fixed fit's standard errors. A tenth too high lowers the band by 1.4 standard errors and moves the peak 1.25 nm short; the prediction was a third of a standard error and under half a nanometre.

A density a tenth wrong costs the band more than fitting it

An older observer's colour matches carry a lens band and a macula that can trade against each other, and fixing the macular pigment's density from an outside measurement breaks much of that trade when the density is right. A flicker measurement and a colour match average the pigment over different fields, so the fixed density can be wrong by a tenth or more, and the prediction was that a tenth too high takes about a third of a standard error off a band at 445 nm and moves the macula's peak by under half a nanometre. It takes 1.4 standard errors off the band and moves the peak 1.25 nm short. At 415 nm the same error pushes the band the other way, up by 2.4 standard errors, and runs its fitted centre 5.6 nm shorter and the lens's age three years younger. Bias and error together, a density fixed a tenth wrong gives the band at 445 nm a larger error than leaving the density free; the break-even is about eight per cent. Given as a measurement with its own standard error of 0.03 instead of fixed, the same wrong density biases the band by under half its error.

eye · Cones
Near the macula a wrong density moves every experiment together. For an observer at sixty with a lens band at 445 nm and an unmoved macula, two sessions: each of twenty simulated experiments' fitted band amplitude with the macular density held a tenth low, at its truth and a tenth high. A tenth high moves the band by -0.031 on average with a spread of 0.0024 between experiments; a tenth low by 0.030, spread 0.0022; the band's own standard error is 0.023.

A wrong density shifts every experiment alike near the macula

Read from the expected matches, a macular density fixed a tenth too high lowers an older observer's lens band at 445 nm by 1.4 of its standard errors and raises a band at 415 nm by 2.4. Real experiments carry noise, and the prediction was that their fits scatter about those biases with the fixed fit's own error, so that a tenth's mistake puts the band beyond twice its error in about a third of experiments at 445 nm and two thirds at 415. Twenty simulated experiments per case, each fitted with the density free and held at 0.9, 1 and 1.1 of its truth, give five of twenty at 445 nm and sixteen at 415 under two sessions — eight and eighteen with a line on the macula's peak. Near the macula the bias is a rigid shift: every experiment moves by the first-order amount to within a tenth of a standard error. Far from it the bias is lopsided — up by 0.058 for a density too high, down by 0.032 for one too low — and a density too low erases the band altogether in one experiment of twenty.

eye · Cones

Named alongside it

The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.

IdentifiabilityLens yellowingMacular pigmentModelling assumptionStandard errorColour-matching functionsStandard observer

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